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JOSS paper minor updates (nci#455)
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* JOSS Paper (a) adds Peirce citation and (b) changes False Alarm Rate to False Alarm Ratio (FAR) in table
* Adds POFD back in (as False Alarm Rate was changed to False Alarm Ratio)
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Steph-Chong authored Jun 6, 2024
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12 changes: 12 additions & 0 deletions docs/paper.bib
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Expand Up @@ -412,3 +412,15 @@ @article{gilbert:1884
year={1884},
publisher={American Periodicals Series III}
}
@article{Peirce:1884,
author = {C. S. Peirce},
title = {The Numerical Measure of the Success of Predictions},
journal = {Science},
volume = {ns-4},
number = {93},
pages = {453-454},
year = {1884},
doi = {10.1126/science.ns-4.93.453.b},
URL = {https://www.science.org/doi/abs/10.1126/science.ns-4.93.453.b},
eprint = {https://www.science.org/doi/pdf/10.1126/science.ns-4.93.453.b}
}
2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion docs/paper.md
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Expand Up @@ -113,7 +113,7 @@ Table: A **Curated Selection** of the Metrics, Tools and Statistical Tests Curre
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| **Probability** |Scores for evaluating forecasts that are expressed as predictive distributions, ensembles, and probabilities of binary events. |Brier Score [@BRIER_1950], Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) for Cumulative Distribution Functions (CDFs) (including threshold-weighting, see @Gneiting:2011), CRPS for ensembles [@Gneiting_2007; @Ferro_2013], Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC), Isotonic Regression (reliability diagrams) [@dimitriadis2021stable].
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| **Categorical** |Scores for evaluating forecasts based on categories. |Probability of Detection (POD), False Alarm Rate , Success Ratio, Accuracy, Peirce's Skill Score, Critical Success Index (CSI), Gilbert Skill Score [@gilbert:1884], Heidke Skill Score, Odds Ratio, Odds Ratio Skill Score, F1 Score, FIxed Risk Multicategorical (FIRM) Score [@Taggart:2022a].
| **Categorical** |Scores for evaluating forecasts based on categories. |Probability of Detection (POD), Probability of False Detection (POFD), False Alarm Ratio (FAR), Success Ratio, Accuracy, Peirce's Skill Score [@Peirce:1884], Critical Success Index (CSI), Gilbert Skill Score [@gilbert:1884], Heidke Skill Score, Odds Ratio, Odds Ratio Skill Score, F1 Score, FIxed Risk Multicategorical (FIRM) Score [@Taggart:2022a].
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| **Statistical Tests** |Tools to conduct statistical tests and generate confidence intervals. | Diebold-Mariano [@Diebold:1995] with both the @Harvey:1997 and @Hering:2011 modifications.
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