Skip to content

Commit

Permalink
Merge pull request #10 from duncanwp/revisions_1
Browse files Browse the repository at this point in the history
Revisions
  • Loading branch information
duncanwp authored Sep 9, 2022
2 parents fa50df2 + f04db64 commit 709bed7
Show file tree
Hide file tree
Showing 19 changed files with 249,106 additions and 5,097 deletions.
3 changes: 3 additions & 0 deletions .gitignore
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -4,6 +4,9 @@
*.gz
*.out

*.pdf
*.png

# Dask
dask-worker-space/

Expand Down
16 changes: 7 additions & 9 deletions README.md
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -8,15 +8,13 @@ A pre-print of the paper describing ClimateBench and the baseline models can be

## Leaderboard

The average root mean square error (RMSE) of the different baseline emulators for the years 2050-2100 against the ClimateBench task of estimating key climate variables under future scenario SSP245. Another state-of-the-art model (UKESM1) and the average RMSE between NorESM ensemble members as an estimate of internal variability are included for comparison.

| Model | TAS RMSE [K] | DTR RMSE [K] | Pr RMSE [mm/day] | P90 RMSE [mm/day] |
|--------------------|----------------------------------|----------------------------|----------------------|------------------|
| GP regression | 0.36 (CRPS: 0.33) | 0.15 (CRPS: 0.12) | 0.53 (CRPS: 0.42) | 1.54 (CRPS: 1.27) |
| CNN+LSTM | 0.38 | 0.17 | 0.58 | 1.64 |
| Random Forest | 0.42 | 0.15 | 0.53 | 1.54 |
| UKESM | 2.20 | 1.28 | 0.89 | 2.57 |
| (Variability) | 0.80 | 0.31 | 1.20 | 3.52 |
The spatial, global and total NRMSE of the different baseline emulators for the years 2080-2100 against the ClimateBench task of estimating key climate variables under future scenario SSP245. The models are ranked in order of the mean of the total NRMSE across all tasks.

| | ('tas', 'Spatial') | ('tas', 'Global') | ('tas', 'Total') | ('diurnal_temperature_range', 'Spatial') | ('diurnal_temperature_range', 'Global') | ('diurnal_temperature_range', 'Total') | ('pr', 'Spatial') | ('pr', 'Global') | ('pr', 'Total') | ('pr90', 'Spatial') | ('pr90', 'Global') | ('pr90', 'Total') |
|------------------|----------------------|---------------------|--------------------|--------------------------------------------|-------------------------------------------|------------------------------------------|---------------------|--------------------|-------------------|-----------------------|----------------------|---------------------|
| Neural Network | 0.107294 | 0.0440271 | 0.327429 | 9.91735 | 1.37219 | 16.7783 | 2.1281 | 0.2093 | 3.1746 | 2.61022 | 0.345709 | 4.33876 |
| Gaussian Process | 0.109106 | 0.0738238 | 0.478225 | 9.20713 | 2.67495 | 22.5819 | 2.34092 | 0.341453 | 4.04818 | 2.5559 | 0.429154 | 4.70167 |
| Random Forest | 0.107574 | 0.0584057 | 0.399602 | 9.19503 | 2.65241 | 22.4571 | 2.52431 | 0.502126 | 5.03494 | 2.68209 | 0.543375 | 5.39896 |


## Installation
Expand Down
Loading

0 comments on commit 709bed7

Please sign in to comment.